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The global air cargo market is demonstrating growth in volumes and rates against the backdrop of seasonal demand and geopolitical instability.

According to WorldACD Market Data, during the last full week of April, global air cargo capacity and tonnage increased by another 3%. The primary driver was a seasonal factor: a surge in flower shipments from Central and South America boosted volumes by 19%, driven primarily by exports from Colombia and Ecuador to the US and Canada ahead of Mother’s Day. Additional growth was recorded in the Asia-Pacific region (+3%) in the run-up to the May 1st holidays, while Europe and Africa showed stagnation, and North America saw a 2% decline.

Overall, global volumes in Week 17 were 9% higher than a year earlier, with Europe gaining 20%, Asia 8%, and Central and South America 12%. At the same time, market pressure persists due to the conflict in the Middle East: volumes from the Middle East and South Asia region declined by 3% year-on-year, while Africa saw an 8% drop. Despite capacity increases in specific regions, global capacity remains 3% below pre-conflict escalation levels, with particularly sharp reductions observed in the Persian Gulf (–46%) and the Eastern Mediterranean (–20%).

Capacity constraints, rising fuel prices, and availability disruptions continue to underpin high freight rates. In Week 17, average spot rates rose by 2% to $3.76 per kg, while the overall market rate increased by 1% to $3.19 per kg. On a year-on-year basis, spot rates remain approximately 45% higher, and overall market rates are up 30%. The sharpest increase in rates was recorded on the Middle East–South Asia (+65%), North America (+60%), and Asia–Pacific (+41%) routes, reflecting the ongoing restructuring of global supply chains.

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